Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
-0.5) 
0.3) 
