SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
74.41% ( -0.5) | 16.46% ( 0.3) | 9.12% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.71) | 42.25% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.71) | 64.66% ( 0.71) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -0.31) | 9.78% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.49% ( -0.71) | 32.5% ( 0.7) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.03) | 50.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.8% ( -0.02) | 85.2% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.17% Total : 74.4% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 16.46% | 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.12% |
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