Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.