SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.42%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
15.58% ( -0.07) | 22.67% ( -0.06) | 61.75% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.1) | 52.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( 0.09) | 74.55% ( -0.09) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.03) | 46.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.93% ( -0.02) | 82.07% ( 0.02) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( 0.08) | 16.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.41% ( 0.14) | 46.59% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 13.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.42% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 61.74% |
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