SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | Osijek |
43.74% ( 0.34) | 25.17% ( -0.06) | 31.08% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( 0.12) | 47.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% ( 0.11) | 69.93% ( -0.11) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.21) | 21.81% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( 0.32) | 55.03% ( -0.32) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.13) | 28.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.16) | 64.67% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.08% |
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