SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
50.58% ( 0.09) | 24.17% ( 0.03) | 25.25% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.25) | 47.03% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.23) | 69.27% ( 0.23) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( -0.06) | 18.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( -0.1) | 49.91% ( 0.1) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -0.23) | 32.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -0.26) | 69.33% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.25% |
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