SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | NK Varazdin |
63.19% ( 0.43) | 21.17% ( -0.18) | 15.63% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.3) | 46.89% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( 0.28) | 69.14% ( -0.28) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( 0.23) | 14.2% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.09% ( 0.45) | 41.91% ( -0.45) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.16) | 42.73% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.94% ( -0.14) | 79.06% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.63% |
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