SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Rudes had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rudes win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Rudes |
41.75% ( 0.31) | 25.56% ( -0.11) | 32.69% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.45) | 48.88% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.4) | 70.97% ( -0.4) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.35) | 23.25% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0.51) | 57.17% ( -0.5) |
| Rudes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.1) | 28.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.12) | 64.06% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | Rudes |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.69% |
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