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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
1 - 1
Varazdin

Mierez (54')
Bukvic (61'), Pusic (75'), Manev (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elezi (14')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 Osijek
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawNK Varazdin
51.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 23.86% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.012999999999998 0.01)45.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (0.012 0.01)68.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.015999999999991 0.02)17.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)48.85% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.24% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.74% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 51.02%
    NK Varazdin 25.11%
    Draw 23.86%
OsijekDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 Osijek
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, September 3 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Osijek
Saturday, August 26 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-3 Varazdin
Friday, August 4 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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