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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
2 - 1
Osijek

Pjaca (47', 55')
Selahi (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pusic (85')
Manev (31'), Pusic (45+1'), Harmash (67'), Lovric (69'), Zivkovic (90+5'), Harmash (90+5')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, September 3 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Osijek win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawOsijek
59.87% (0.223 0.22) 21% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 19.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.128 0.13)40.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.132 0.13)62.49% (-0.133 -0.13)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (0.107 0.11)13.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (0.218 0.22)39.61% (-0.218 -0.22)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)34.56% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)71.28% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 59.87%
    Osijek 19.13%
    Draw 21%
HNK RijekaDrawOsijek
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Lille
Thursday, August 31 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Rijeka
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 B36 Torshavn
Thursday, August 17 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, September 3 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Osijek
Saturday, August 26 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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