SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
35.51% ( 4.5) | 26.34% ( -0.14) | 38.15% ( -4.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 1.53) | 51.67% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 1.32) | 73.45% ( -1.32) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 3.69) | 27.94% ( -3.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( 4.47) | 63.56% ( -4.47) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -1.62) | 26.4% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( -2.21) | 61.57% ( 2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.8)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -1.11) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -1.09)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.15% |
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