SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Rudes had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Rudes win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rudes | Draw | NK Varazdin |
28.19% ( 0.26) | 25.35% ( 0.11) | 46.46% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.29) | 49.91% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( -0.26) | 71.9% ( 0.26) |
| Rudes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( 0.04) | 31.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( 0.05) | 68.44% ( -0.05) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.28) | 21.49% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( -0.43) | 54.53% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rudes | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.46% |
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