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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 28
Mar 30, 2024 at 1.50pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 4
Gorica

Belcar (42'), Drozdek (90')
Postonjski (13'), Vukcevic (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rukavina (25'), Mitrovic (27'), Prsir (78'), Matej Juric (80')
Soldo (74'), Matej Juric (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 0-1 Varazdin
Friday, March 15 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawGorica
45.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 27.24% (-0.02 -0.02) 27.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.43% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (0.076000000000001 0.08)57.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.7% (0.061 0.06)78.3% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.056999999999995 0.06)60.28% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.38% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.17% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 45.03%
    Gorica 27.73%
    Draw 27.24%
NK VarazdinDrawGorica
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.03%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Osijek 0-1 Varazdin
Friday, March 15 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Istra 1961
Friday, March 8 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Varazdin
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Varazdin
Sunday, February 18 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rudes
Friday, February 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Hajduk Split
Saturday, March 9 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 2-1 Gorica
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, February 11 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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