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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

Rudes
2 - 1
Gorica

Coric (26' pen.), Masala (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Matavz (39')
Soldo (78'), Matkovic (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Rudes and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes
Saturday, February 24 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rudes win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rudes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rudes would win this match.

Result
RudesDrawGorica
37.8% (-0.437 -0.44) 27.47% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 34.73% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69% (-0.318 -0.32)56.31% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66% (-0.258 -0.26)77.34% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Rudes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)28.81% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (-0.51199999999999 -0.51)64.66% (0.511 0.51)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.063000000000002 0.06)30.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.076000000000001 0.08)66.95% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rudes 37.79%
    Gorica 34.72%
    Draw 27.47%
RudesDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes
Saturday, February 24 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, February 17 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rudes
Friday, February 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-0 Rudes
Saturday, February 3 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, January 27 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, February 11 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 4 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-2 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Rijeka
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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