SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rudes win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rudes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rudes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rudes | Draw | Gorica |
37.8% ( -0.44) | 27.47% ( 0.09) | 34.73% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.69% ( -0.32) | 56.31% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.66% ( -0.26) | 77.34% ( 0.26) |
| Rudes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.41) | 28.81% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( -0.51) | 64.66% ( 0.51) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.06) | 30.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( 0.08) | 66.95% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rudes | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.72% |
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