SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.1%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
35.86% ( -0.13) | 22.29% ( 0.01) | 41.84% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 67.9% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.09) | 32.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.93% ( -0.1) | 54.07% ( 0.1) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.09) | 18.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( -0.16) | 50.33% ( 0.16) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.01) | 16.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( 0.01) | 45.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.84% |
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