SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al-Rayyan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Shamal |
54.6% ( 0.27) | 21.78% ( -0.07) | 23.62% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.2% ( 0.12) | 37.79% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( 0.13) | 60.04% ( -0.13) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( 0.12) | 13.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.24) | 41.27% ( -0.25) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.09) | 29.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.12) | 65.03% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 23.62% |
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