SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Arabi |
28.21% ( -0.14) | 23.33% ( 0.02) | 48.46% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( -0.18) | 40.97% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -0.18) | 63.36% ( 0.19) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.19) | 27.36% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -0.24) | 62.82% ( 0.24) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.02) | 17.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.04) | 47.34% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 48.46% |
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