SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al-Duhail |
30.31% ( -1.49) | 23.15% ( -0.14) | 46.53% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.17% ( -0.08) | 38.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.86% ( -0.09) | 61.14% ( 0.09) |
| Al Mu'aidar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( -0.94) | 24.9% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( -1.32) | 59.51% ( 1.32) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.6) | 17.04% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( 1.05) | 47.19% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.17% Total : 46.53% |
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