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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
42.84% ( 0.1) | 22.91% ( -0.03) | 34.25% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.03% ( 0.14) | 35.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% ( 0.15) | 58.07% ( -0.15) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( 0.09) | 17.36% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.25% ( 0.17) | 47.75% ( -0.17) |
| Al Mu'aidar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.03) | 21.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( 0.04) | 54.21% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.25% |
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