SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al Shamal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Shamal |
28.58% ( 0.73) | 23.54% ( 0.16) | 47.88% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( -0.23) | 41.68% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( -0.23) | 64.08% ( 0.23) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.39) | 27.47% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( 0.5) | 62.96% ( -0.5) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( -0.43) | 17.62% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( -0.75) | 48.2% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.83% Total : 47.88% |
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