SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Arabi |
28.98% ( -0.02) | 23.85% ( -0.03) | 47.17% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( 0.13) | 42.88% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% ( 0.13) | 65.28% ( -0.13) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.05) | 27.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.07) | 63.39% ( -0.07) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( 0.07) | 18.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( 0.12) | 49.48% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.98% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.17% |
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