SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shamal |
42.03% ( 0.52) | 23.49% ( 0.07) | 34.47% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 62.92% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.5) | 38.79% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.9% ( -0.53) | 61.1% ( 0.53) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.01) | 18.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( 0.03) | 50.29% ( -0.03) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.55) | 22.47% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.83) | 56.01% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.48% |
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