SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 33.38% | 24.29% ( -0) | 42.32% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.02) | 42.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.02) | 65.35% ( -0.02) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( 0.01) | 59.72% ( -0.01) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.01) | 20.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( 0.01) | 52.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.32% |
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