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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Arabi |
32.03% ( -1.02) | 23.39% ( 0.04) | 44.58% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.62) | 39.14% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.53% ( -0.65) | 61.46% ( 0.65) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.88) | 24.01% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -1.27) | 58.27% ( 1.27) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.15) | 17.93% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( 0.25) | 48.74% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.8% Total : 44.58% |
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