SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al-Duhail |
21.14% ( 0.17) | 20.66% ( 0.08) | 58.2% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.17) | 35.53% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.19) | 57.57% ( 0.18) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.05) | 29.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.06) | 66.05% ( -0.07) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( -0.13) | 12.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.42% ( -0.26) | 37.58% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 21.14% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 58.2% |
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