SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 22.35% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Al Gharafa |
58.36% ( -0.03) | 19.29% ( -0.02) | 22.35% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 68.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.94% ( 0.18) | 27.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.23) | 47.56% ( -0.23) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( 0.05) | 9.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.35% ( 0.11) | 31.64% ( -0.11) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.15) | 24.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( 0.21) | 58.28% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 22.35% |
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