SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 57.76%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 21.81% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Umm Salal |
57.76% ( 0.14) | 20.43% ( -0.02) | 21.81% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.08) | 33.47% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.73% ( -0.09) | 55.27% ( 0.09) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( 0.01) | 11.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.54% ( 0.03) | 36.45% ( -0.03) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( -0.15) | 28.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( -0.19) | 63.87% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.76% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 21.81% |
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