SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Markhiya win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Markhiya win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Markhiya |
35.45% ( 0.37) | 24.89% ( 0.04) | 39.66% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.11) | 45.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.11) | 67.61% ( 0.11) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.16) | 24.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.22) | 59.57% ( -0.22) |
| Al Markhiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.25) | 22.71% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( -0.37) | 56.37% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Markhiya |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.66% |
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