SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shamal |
47.67% ( 0.01) | 22.82% ( -0.01) | 29.51% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.05) | 37.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.05) | 59.9% ( -0.05) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0.02) | 16.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( 0.04) | 45.62% ( -0.04) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.03) | 24.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( 0.04) | 59.41% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.51% |
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