Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
25.29% ( -3.31)	24.27% ( -1.08)	50.44% ( 4.39)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

2.23)

47.42% (

-2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

2.03)

69.64% (

-2.03)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-1.42)

32.96% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-1.6)

69.54% (

1.6)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

2.74)

18.82% (

-2.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.74% (

4.38)

50.26% (

-4.39)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 25.29%

Linfield 50.44%

Draw 24.27%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.71) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.29%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.62) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.72) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.42) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.44) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.44%