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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 4
Linfield


Henderson (7'), Graham (34'), (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cooper (39'), Millar (45'), Shields (59' pen.), McDaid (62')
Clarke (12')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Linfield
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
28.52% (-0.425 -0.43) 24.83% (-0.381 -0.38) 46.66% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.962 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (1.391 1.39)47.52% (-1.39 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (1.275 1.28)69.72% (-1.275 -1.27)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.40599999999999 0.41)30.5% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (0.481 0.48)66.71% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.925 0.92)20.42% (-0.924 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (1.447 1.45)52.86% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 28.52%
    Linfield 46.66%
    Draw 24.82%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.127 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Larne 3-0 Ballymena
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Ballymena
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-2 Glenavon
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Linfield
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 RFS (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: RFS 2-2 Linfield
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Linfield 4-0 Portadown
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: FC Zurich 3-0 Linfield
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa League


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