SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dundee |
29.44% ( -0.02) | 25.52% ( -0) | 45.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.01) | 49.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( 0.01) | 71.94% ( -0.01) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.01) | 31.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -0.01) | 67.4% ( 0.01) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.01) | 22.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.02) | 55.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.03% |
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