SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Dundee | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Falkirk |
48.58% ( -0.13) | 24.26% ( 0.03) | 27.16% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.05) | 45.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -0.05) | 68.22% ( 0.05) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.07) | 18.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% ( -0.12) | 50.52% ( 0.12) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( 0.05) | 30.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( 0.06) | 66.92% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.16% |
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