SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
37.05% ( -0.7) | 26.76% ( 0.07) | 36.18% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0.27) | 53.41% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0.23) | 74.94% ( 0.23) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.53) | 27.85% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -0.69) | 63.45% ( 0.69) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.24) | 28.37% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0.31) | 64.11% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.18% |
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