SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee |
33.19% ( 1.12) | 26.1% ( 0.04) | 40.71% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.13) | 51.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.12) | 72.9% ( -0.12) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.8) | 29.08% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.98) | 64.99% ( -0.97) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.53) | 24.74% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( -0.75) | 59.29% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.7% |
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