SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
48.52% ( 0.06) | 24.97% ( -0) | 26.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( -0.02) | 49.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( -0.01) | 71.45% ( 0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.02) | 20.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.03) | 52.82% ( -0.03) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( -0.05) | 33.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( -0.06) | 69.61% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.51% |
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