Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
