Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Ayr

Polworth (56'), Cameron (86' pen.)
Stokes (45+1'), Lyons (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeloye (31'), Houston (41'), Salkeld (71'), Baird (85')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Liam Polworth and Innes Cameron scored for Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Ayr United
50.16%	24.29%	25.55%

Both teams to score 54.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71%

47.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49%

69.51%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64%

50.36%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33%

32.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79%

69.21%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 50.16%

Ayr United 25.55%

Draw 24.29%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.55%