Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

Shaw (43' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matthews (66'), Arnott (87')
Varian (16'), Williamson (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Kilmarnock and Raith Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Raith Rovers
63.5%	21.27%	15.24%

Both teams to score 47.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97%

48.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8%

70.2%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53%

14.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56%

42.44%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.04%

43.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.91%

80.09%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 63.49%

Raith Rovers 15.24%

Draw 21.26%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.41% Total : 63.49%	1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 5.23% 1-2 @ 4.15% 0-2 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.24%