SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 19.06% | 23.36% | 57.58% |
| Both teams to score 49.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% | 50.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% | 72.38% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% | 40.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.76% | 77.24% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% | 17.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.39% | 47.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.58% |
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