Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.