SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
57.34% ( 0.53) | 21.65% ( -0.29) | 21.01% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 1) | 40.41% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 1.03) | 62.78% ( -1.02) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( 0.5) | 13.9% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.68% ( 0.98) | 41.32% ( -0.98) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( 0.34) | 32.86% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( 0.38) | 69.43% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 57.34% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.01% |
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