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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
35.46% ( -0.26) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 38.81% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( -0.11) | 49.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.1) | 71.11% ( 0.1) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.2) | 26.7% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( -0.27) | 61.96% ( 0.27) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( 0.11) | 59.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.81% |
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