SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
61.38% ( 0) | 21.55% | 17.07% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.01) | 45.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.01) | 68.28% ( 0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0) | 14.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( -0) | 42.43% ( 0) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.01) | 40.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( -0.01) | 76.97% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.38% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 61.37% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.07% |
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