SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
32.15% ( -4.67) | 24.07% ( -0.38) | 43.77% ( 5.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.77) | 42.32% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.76) | 64.73% ( -0.77) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -2.28) | 25.47% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -3.23) | 60.31% ( 3.22) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 2.66) | 19.55% ( -2.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 4.18) | 51.45% ( -4.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.72)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.85)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.56)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.66)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.41)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
