SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
42.56% ( -0.05) | 26.44% ( -0.18) | 31% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.94% ( 0.79) | 53.06% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0.67) | 74.65% ( -0.66) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( 0.33) | 24.69% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( 0.46) | 59.23% ( -0.45) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( 0.57) | 31.56% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( 0.65) | 67.96% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31% |
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