Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
