SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Livingston |
19.25% ( 0.23) | 22.86% ( 0.09) | 57.88% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -0.05) | 48.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.04) | 70.32% ( 0.04) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( 0.24) | 39.11% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( 0.22) | 75.83% ( -0.23) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -0.13) | 16.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.02% ( -0.24) | 45.98% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.25% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 57.88% |
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