SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.88% ( 1.03) | 26.9% ( 0.2) | 32.22% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -1.07) | 54.51% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( -0.89) | 75.86% ( 0.89) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.06) | 26.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 0.09) | 61.32% ( -0.09) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -1.36) | 31.45% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -1.6) | 67.84% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
