Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.