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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 2
Baltika

Dzyuba (9'), Miranchuk (17'), Barinov (34')
Karpukas (15')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Guzina (50'), Pryakhin (65')
Radmanovac (20')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sochi 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Baltika
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawBaltika
48.89% (-0.94 -0.94) 25.26% (0.418 0.42) 25.85% (0.524 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-1.298 -1.3)51.11% (1.3 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (-1.147 -1.15)72.96% (1.15 1.15)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.916 -0.92)20.92% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-1.453 -1.45)53.65% (1.455 1.46)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)34.48% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.282 -0.28)71.19% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 48.88%
    Baltika 25.85%
    Draw 25.26%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.369 0.37)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sochi 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, August 12 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 4-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-4 Lokomotiv
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-2 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Baltika
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-1 Ural
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Baltika
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 2-1 Fakel
Sunday, August 6 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-1 Baltika
Monday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 2-0 Baltika
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Russian Premier League


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